Credit slump environment

July 26, 2023 Sebastien D'Hondt

Looking ahead, the picture is bleak.ย 

The ECB’s bank lending survey indicates that there is further credit standard tightening ahead and that demand for loans continues to weaken, which should translate into a ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐—น๐˜‚๐—ด๐—ด๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜. This will result in ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ in the second half of this year and early next. That comes on top of an already stagnating eurozone economy and increases the risk of recession

The credit slump environment mentioned early this year is confirming month by month. Increased borrowing costs and slowing demand create an ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—น๐—ถ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด.

What are your thoughts?

Source: https://think.ing.com/snaps/eurozone-bank-lending-falls-again-in-june-as-ecb-hikes-take-effect